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Global Prediction Ledger

An immutable, real-time record of all market probabilities synthesized by the PolyPredictor ensemble, verified against actual outcomes.

40,593
Total Predictions
89.4%
Historical Win Rate
+$14.2M
Simulated EV Captured
All Markets
Resolved Correct
Pending Resolution
Crypto
Politics
Resolved Correct
Crypto & Web3
Will the SEC approve spot Ethereum ETFs by July 4th, 2024?
AI Consensus
78% YES
Market Price
42¢ YES
Pending
Macroeconomics
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in September 2024?
AI Consensus
22% YES
Market Price
55¢ YES
Resolved Correct
US Politics
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 Iowa Republican Caucuses by >20%?
AI Consensus
94% YES
Market Price
71¢ YES
Resolved Incorrect
Pop Culture
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $1B worldwide before 2024?
AI Consensus
35% YES
Market Price
40¢ YES
Resolved Correct
Crypto & Web3
Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 before the April 2024 halving event?
AI Consensus
82% YES
Market Price
48¢ YES
Pending
Space & Tech
Will SpaceX successfully land a Starship on Mars by Dec 2026?
AI Consensus
14% YES
Market Price
30¢ YES